Predictions: Modern Masters — Followup


Last month, I gave my predictions for the cards I believed would be in Modern Masters, the all-reprint set designed to increase supply of certain cards for Modern (it won’t, but we’ll get to that in a minute.) With the full set having been spoiled on Monday, it’s time to look back at my predictions and see how I did. What did I get right, and what did I miss on?


It’s time to find out!


When I wrote the initial article, I felt that I was pretty spot-on with most of my guesses. There are some cards that are needed in much larger supply than exists for Modern (and to a lesser extent, Legacy), and I figured that WotC would be trying to fill that gap with this set.


For the most part, Modern Masters does look like it would be a lot of fun to draft (if we could only get our hands on the packs to do so!) There are a lot of great commons/uncommons that would be excellent in draft (though there is a large oversaturation of Lorwyn cards, honestly) and even though I know it’ll be overpriced, I look forward to the first Modern Masters draft I get to do. However, there are some cards missing from the set, which bugs me, so we’ll get to those first.


The cards that are missing from the set that most people, including me, thought would be in:
~ Noble Hierarch
~ Damnation
~ Crucible of Worlds
~ Thoughtseize
~ Filter lands or Pain lands
~ Wrath of God


These cards are all Modern staples, with nearly all having price tags greater than is warranted (especially Thoughtseize.) I had initially predicted all of these would be in the set except for the pain lands, but was unfortunately wrong on these cards. (It’s quite possible that WotC is waiting for M14 to rerelease Thoughtseize; we can hope so, anyway. And hopefully at uncommon.)


This was my guess at the mythics:




Tarmogoyf, Doubling Season
Dark Confidant, Damnation, Kokusho, the Evening Star
Vendilion Clique
Elspeth, Knight-Errant
Kiki-Jiki, Mirror Breaker
Sliver Legion, Ajani Vengeant, Sarkhan Vol
Sword of Fire and Ice, Sword of Light and Shadow, Crucible of Worlds


I had a pretty good list of mythics for Modern. I included the big three creatures of the format (Tarmogoyf, Vendilion Clique, and Dark Confidant); one of the two best planeswalkers in the format (Elspeth); one of red’s best cards (Kiki-Jiki); the two original Swords; and casual favorites in Kokusho, Doubling Season, Sliver Legion and Sarkhan Vol.


So, how many did I get right?


The actual list of mythics:


Tarmogoyf, Jugan, the Rising Star
Dark Confidant, Kokusho, the Evening Star
Vendilion Clique, Keiga, the Tide Star
Elspeth, Knight-Errant, Yosei, the Morning Star
Kiki-Jiki, Mirror Breaker, Ryusei, the Falling Star
Sarkhan Vol, Progenitus
Sword of Fire and Ice, Sword of Light and Shadow, Vedalken Shackles


Number of cards I got right: 9/15 (with partial points for me since I was right that Doubling Season would be reprinted, just not as a mythic)


I was right about Kokusho, though I definitely did not expect the entire cycle of Kamigawa dragons to be reprinted at mythic, especially Ryusei (he’s not very powerful compared to mythic cards nowadays.) I’m pretty sure that WotC included this cycle just so they could have two cards for each color (if you look at my list, I found it very hard to balance the colors, so I just didn’t. Certain colors in Modern just don’t have the quality of cards that other colors have.)


(As an aside, though I’ve always liked the original art for the two Swords, the new art is fantastic and I will be trying to get my hands on one of each Sword just because I like the art that much.)


How did I do for rares?




Wrath of God, Ranger of Eos, Daybreak Coronet, Ethersworn Canonist, Reveillark, Auriok Champion
Noble Hierarch, Regal Force, Scapeshift, Chord of Calling, Woodfall Primus, Life from the Loam, Primal Command, Prismatic Omen
Thoughtseize, Skeletal Vampire, Living End
Cryptic Command, Scion of Oona, Glen Elendra Archmage, Sower of Temptation, Venser, Shaper Savant, Kira, Great Glass-Spinner, Gifts Ungiven, Teferi, Mage of Zhalfir, Threads of Disloyalty
Blood Moon, Magus of the Moon
Maelstrom Pulse, Fulminator Mage, Knight of the Reliquary, Wilt-Leaf Liege, Burning-Tree Shaman, Glimpse the Unthinkable
Lotus Bloom, Arcbound Ravager, Engineered Explosives, Cloudstone Curio, Oblivion Stone
Blinkmoth Nexus, Glimmervoid, Grove of the Burnwillows, City of Brass, Mystic Gate, Fire-Lit Thicket, Wooded Bastion, Sunken Ruins, Graven Cairns, Cascade Bluffs, Rugged Prairie, Fetid Heath, Flooded Grove, Twilight Mire


My initial guesses for Modern Masters included all ten filter lands from Shadowmoor/Eventide (none of which made it in the actual set), Thoughtseize and Noble Hierarch at rare, and very few red cards since I had issues coming up with red cards in Modern that were any good. My rares were much more unbalanced color-wise; WotC’s list is balanced, with 7 rares per color.


The actual list of rares from Modern Masters:


Adarkar Valkyrie, Angel’s Grace, Auriok Salvagers (shifted to rare), Ethersworn Canonist, Kataki, War’s Wage, Reveillark, Stonehewer Giant
Cryptic Command, Gifts Ungiven, Glen-Elendra Archmage, Kira, Great Glass-Spinner, Meloku, the Clouded Mirror, Pact of Negation, Scion of Oona
Bridge from Below, Death Cloud, Earwig Squad, Extirpate, Skeletal Vampire, Slaughter Pact, Tombstalker
Blood Moon, Countryside Crusher, Dragonstorm, Greater Gargadon, Molten Disaster, Pyromancer’s Swath, Squee, Goblin Nabob
Doubling Season, Life from the Loam, Rude Awakening, Summoner’s Pact, Tooth and Nail, Verdeloth the Ancient, Woodfall Primus
Cold-Eyed Selkie, Demigod of Revenge, Divinity of Pride, Figure of Destiny, Grand Arbiter Augustin IV, Jhoira of the Ghitu, Knight of the Reliquary, Maelstrom Pulse, Oona, Queen of the Fae
AEther Vial, Arcbound Ravager, Chalice of the Void, Engineered Explosives, Lotus Bloom
Academy Ruins, Blinkmoth Nexus, City of Brass, Glimmervoid


Number of cards I got right: 19/54 (Again, I get bonus points for being right on Doubling Season, just not at rare)


I guessed far worse on the rares, mainly because I was not looking at this as a Limited set, which WotC was (most of the rares they’ve chosen are either good in Limited, or are casual favorites.) I guessed just under half of the rares, which is not bad considering ten of the rares that I’d chosen were the filter lands.


Ironically, there were a number of cards that I’d initially had on my first predictions list (Adarkar Valkyrie, AEther Vial, Grand Arbiter Augustin IV, and Tooth and Nail) that I left off of my final list, since I couldn’t see them being reprinted. I guess I should have gone with my initial gut feeling.


Notable commons/uncommons that I’d guessed right:


Path to Exile
Narcomoeba, Peer Through Depths, Pestermite, Spell Snare, Spellstutter Sprite, Thirst for Knowledge
Faerie Macabre, Raven’s Crime, Stinkweed Imp, Street Wraith
Desperate Ritual, Empty the Warrens, Grapeshot, Lava Spike, Rift Bolt
Eternal Witness, Search for Tomorrow
Electrolyze, Kitchen Finks, Lightning Helix, Manamorphose, Murderous Redcaps, Tidehollow Sculler
AEther Spellbomb, Frogmite, Myr Enforcer, Pyrite Spellbomb, Relic of Progenitus


While I did get a lot of these right, there were an awful lot that I was wrong about. Again, this is due to me not realizing just how much WotC would be skewing this set for draft (something I feel is a mistake, since from the looks of it with the set being as sought-after as it will be, there won’t be much available to draft with.)


Conclusion: So, with just under half of the rares right, and 9 out of 15 mythics right, I would say that I did pretty darn well at guessing the contents of Modern Masters. I am looking forward to trying to draft this (though I’m not sure if I’ll actually be able to); it looks like a super-fun draft format.

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